Civil servants fall in line for you

Turncoat – Anti-Flag

So what to do with Joe Lieberman? There are plenty of good arguments for stripping him of his role as chair of the Homeland Security Committee. Those deal with establishing a deterrent effect for future possible defectors, and to demonstrate that party unity is important (by rewarding those who held the firm line by moving them up the ranks). I find them persuasive, and I hope that they carry the day.

Note that (despite what many media outlets insist on saying) this would not amount to kicking him out of the Democratic Caucus. It would simply remove him from that position – he would probably be free to retain his place in other committees. Should that be unacceptable, well…don’t let the door hit you on your way out, Joe.

However, all that said, there is one terrible reason that the netroots crowd keep latching onto. That is that Lieberman will have subpeona power if he stays as the chair. As I mentioned a few days go, there is absolutely nothing wrong with someone in Congress being interested in oversight over the Administration.

Remember how we moaned (justifiably) for years that Bush was operating without any Congressional check? Given that, how could we complain with a straight face that one person in Congress might be interested in keeping an eye on the internal workings of the Obama administration?

I don’t even think Lieberman would actually provide it (he likes to bluster far more than he cares about being a cog in the Democratic machine), but the mere possibility that he could is not a legitimate reason to chuck him out.

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Food not agriculture

Some more appointments speculation: this time about the Secretary of Agriculture. Some of the buzz suggests it might be former Iowa Governor and presidential candidate (remember that?) Tom Vilsack. My position: I agree wholeheartedly with Ezra Klein on the issue: “there’s only one real signal from this sort of a pick: Your subsidies are safe.”

It’s not so much that I’m worried about what Vilsack would symbolize if he does get the nod – I had no pretenses that we were in for anything other than business (and subsidies) as usual on this front. It’s more just a recognition of how ridiculous our current governmental approach to food really is. It’s not remotely surprising that Vilsack (or someone like him) will likely get the job. It stems from a fundamentally troubling approach to the entire question.

That we continue to even have a Department of Agriculture – when agriculture makes up an ever-vanishing subset of the economy – is a little peculiar. It definitely prioritizes the notion that policy in this area is about agricultural producers, instead of being about food consumers. The result is a food policy held hostage by a narrow industry with motivations that have nothing to do with the public good. And it’s tremendously discouraging.

This is certainly one area where if Obama turns out to represent a real change I will be both flabbergasted and absolutely ecstatic. Here’s hoping

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Hillary for Secretary of State?

I’m going to be gone all weekend, and likely won’t get a chance to post much. But I’ve got a few random issues I’ve been noodling over for the past couple days, so I’ll try and get them up tonight.

First on the list is the news that Hillary Clinton has flown to Chicago, presumably to interview for Secretary of State? I don’t have a strong opinion on this were it to pan out, but my first reaction is that it would be a somewhat unorthodox choice, for a number of reasons.

First, I’m not sure exactly what is in it for Hillary. She doesn’t seem the type who would particularly enjoy the charge of implementing Obama’s plans. Beyond that, it would bump her out of the Senate which seems like a long and plentiful road. But I wasn’t convinced she really wanted to run for president either and clearly that was wrong.

Second, State doesn’t seem like an ideal fit, even if she did theoretically want to be part of the Administration. I know it’s high-powered, but for all the talk of experience during the primaries, is there any particular reason to think she’d be better at this part of the job than the other candidates? I’m not sure. That said – and maybe it’s just the pain of four years ago speaking – I think I would rest a little easier knowing that Hillary was on the job over John Kerry.

All that said, Hillary is awesome and tremendously competent (especially when she’s not listening to people like Mark Penn), and would really help to bolster the administration. I’m not sure what it would do for health care. Having her as an advocate in the Senate would be valuable, but having her on the inside of the White House team (even in a role that doesn’t really relate to it) might help them to keep all the balls in the air. And maybe she could push for a more comprehensive plan.

It’s all just speculation of course. But if Hillary were appointed, I think it would also speak well to my previous thoughts about what we might be able to intuit out of Obama’s first appointments. She would certainly have no reservations about speaking her mind, and would have a lot to contribute.

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This is awesome

Dan Savage absolutely demolishing Troy Perkins on the subject of Prop 8 (h/t Andrew Sullivan).

By the end, Dan has established that Perkins is pushing studies with all the validity of tobacco-company reports that smoking is good for you, that Perkins apparently thinks it’s okay to ban inter-racial marriage, that Perkins doesn’t believe that the government should be in the business of protecting civil rights, and that Perkins is going to hell for all his lying.

In one sense, it’s depressing that someone who has absolutely no interest in promoting a reasonable story or telling the truth gets a soapbox like this. I know it’s not the most hateful of his lies, but it’s just preposterous that he feels like he can assert that young people “understand more than anybody what happens when you re-define marriage” in the face of all evidence that young people overwhelmingly voted against Prop 8.

I know I’m biased on this question, but I don’t know how anyone could watch this and think that Perkins has any clue what he’s talking about.

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Taking change seriously: politics in the era of Obama

Change the World – Nellie McKay
Subtle Changes – Sambassadeur
Change – Lightning Seeds

The newest cool thing to do in the Leftleaning blogosphere is to freak out about how Obama isn’t going to live up to expectations, or will fail to carry out a progressive presidency. A similar current runs through the more mainstream media where they love to talk about how his appointments run counter to the “change” mantle on which he ran. Rahm Emanuel in particular has been a focus of such criticisms. “He’s not change.” “He worked with Clinton.” “He’s like, totally partisan.” “He hates the 50 state strategy.” And so on.

My response to both of these camps is that they need to chill out. I know we don’t have a ton of information to go on right now, and we’re in full election withdrawal mode so every little thing we can find has to be analyzed to death, but sometimes things are a lot less complicated than people make them out to be.

So how does this comport with the idea of “change”? There are two answers. One is simple (and in my mind sufficient). The other is complicated and gets into a long tangent about what the Obama administration is really going to be about.

The first one revolves around the simple point that what people really care about is getting things done. In their mind, “change” doesn’t mean changing everything. It means changing the stuff that’s broken. Marc Ambinder characterizes it thus: the people complaining “may be conflating the direction of policy with the peopling of the administration.” From this perspective, partisanship isn’t bad because there’s some inherent morality to compromise, but rather because it gets in the way of actually fixing problems. Change thus can mean: no more stupid wars, and an administration that will pay attention to fixing your problems. The process by which that happens will matter a lot less than it actually happening.

And that’s why having people like Emanuel around is important. He’s competent. He knows the ins and outs of the White House. He knows the Democratic caucus. He’s not likely to make dumb mistakes on Day One. He’ll be ruthless in pressing the agenda and putting people in line. In short, Obama has an agenda and Emanuel’s job will be to help get it through.

Now, I think that’s a sufficient answer. But there’s also a second element here, an even more basic one.

From reading the campaign stories, from his books, from basically all available information, one defining characteristic of Obama is his interest in seeing issues from multiple perspectives. I know the hard-core leftist blogs don’t like it – because it reflects a refusal to participate in ideological campaigns – but this is just part of Obama’s personality. It’s not going to change, no matter how much you rail against it. And frankly, I’m glad for it. It’s what made his campaign so outstanding, and hopefully what will make him an excellent president. He simply doesn’t think in absolute terms. No person is simply their ideology. No issue is so clear that it can be put aside without examination.

What is interesting is the way you can counterpoise this with another defining characteristic of the Obama campaign: the almost unworldly degree of discipline they displayed. They stayed on message, they rode out the ups and downs, they identified their path to victory and they pursued it with incredible determination.

These two things are, in one sense, completely at odds with each other. On the one hand you have an obsession with nuance and flexibility – a recognition that the world is endlessly complex and every issue must be revisited. In short: the perspective of a scholar. On the other hand you have an intense focus, a refusal to go off message, a capacity to keep their eyes on the prize and ignore all the little bumps along the way. Or, more bluntly, the hard-nosed perspective of a party operative like Emanuel.

However, the contradiction is not quite what it seems. Because the one unifying current that runs through both of these ideas is a deep sense of pragmatism. You treat issues as complicated because they are complicated. And yet you recognize that the art of government necessitates acting upon them, in a measured, considered, and directed fashion.

It’s a delicate arrangement, and can quite easily tip into vacillation and an ineffectual presidency on the one side, or into a sort of purely political game-playing that characterized the Clinton years on the other. Keeping a balance between the two, then, has always seemed to be one of Obama’s main priorities. My impressions is that his natural inclination is always to stray toward the former, and that is precisely why he surrounds himself with people who will push for the latter.

The thing that drives the lefty blogs nuts is that neither of these reflects their own perspective: a zeal for progressive causes and a commitment to put these issues front and foremost at every opportunity.

And that criticism is fair, but I think it is too often deployed in Manichean terms, as if the only possible worlds are “progressive government” or “siding with the establishment.” In some ways, this dichotomy ends up replicating precisely the same tropes as the mainstream media they so love to criticize.

To explain: in my mind, the real difference between Obama and Joe Netroots is a matter of form vs. content. The traditional approach assumes that it’s all about results. Talk is fine, but if it doesn’t produce results, who cares? What really makes a difference is where rubber meets the road. This is why you get the profound derision for any Democrat who plays into “right wing frames” or gives up an inch on matters of contest.

In contrast, Obama believes (very genuinely, I think) that the process by which we produce policy matters almost as much as the actual details. That’s why he is so utterly not an ideologue. Despite having fairly liberal beliefs on most issues, he appears to have a great skepticism for politics where people start from ideology. In Obama’s world, nothing at the level of policy is fixed absolutely. Instead, you delve deeply to discover shared principles and then work from there. It’s about starting from the premise of consensus rather than conflict.

That’s what makes it “new.” That’s the “change” he’s talking about. And that’s what neither the lefty blog folks nor the mainstream folks ever seem to quite grapple with. They treat the form as completely irrelevant. It’s all about the material product. “Show me the beef” and all that. But Obama simply doesn’t seem to think that way. Content matters, obviously, but the form is not simply theatrics. For him, it really matters. The way that you approach these issues influences in profound and game-changing ways the product you eventually end up with.

If you accept that, then it suddenly makes a lot of sense why he might appoint people unpopular with the traditional progressive folks, even if he remains committed to pursuing relatively liberal policies. Because when you treat form as important, it also has to be part of the internal administrative process. It’s not simply a tool that can be deployed haphazardly when it’s convenient, or a winter coat that can be cast aside once you return to the warm confines of the oval office. It has to be embedded in the very methods of Obama and his inner circle. And that’s what Emanuel is there for. As I pointed out above, he’s the counterweight, the guy who will keep this from spinning out into nothingness. But more than that, he’s the guy who won’t always agree, who will tell him that they should go out and knock heads, who will yell and scream sometimes. He’s one example of the larger project that Obama has pursued: one where ideological purity is far less important than a shared commitment to the process of simply getting things done.

To give a broader picture, I encourage you to think about what it would mean if we take Obama seriously when he talks about this stuff. With that in mind, reconsider his call for a new kind of politics: a transcendence of “red states” and “blue states.” When most people hear this, they immediately assume he must be talking about “bipartisanship” or “governing from the center.” But bipartisanship still presumes the divide. And “the center” is an imaginary place, one that always seems to be full of whatever issues the speaker personally happens to care about.

But Obama isn’t saying that. Instead he literally is talking about a different way of conceiving politics.

I know, I know. That sounds goofy and messianic. But bear with me. I don’t mean to make it sound like it’s a radical break or something utterly foreign. In fact, that is precisely what it is NOT. The problem is that people hear a phrase like “new kind of politics” and they assume we must be talking about grand gestures and sweeping changes. And that’s not it at all. Rather, it’s a very simple reappropriation of pragmatism. What makes it “new” is simply that it allows for a wide swath of gray areas. It is a recognition that on a whole swath of issues it will be impossible to generate consensus. It’s a call to jettison the endless game of tug of war where the issue is pulled back and forth from team to team over the years. You don’t fight tooth and nail for the idealized version of a policy – you fight tooth and nail for a policy that will produce genuine good results. But even more than that, you fight tooth and nail to generate a provisional consensus.

The idea is not to find a “better than nothing” compromise that enough people will grudgingly support. It’s to take ownership of the debate in such a way that the rigid beliefs and ideas are given even the tiniest bit of freedom to roam about.

Put another way, Obama doesn’t want to govern from “the center,” he wants to govern from “what’s best for the country.” And, in his mind, what’s best for the country looks quite progressive. It’s an attempt to blow up the whole notion of “the center” and replace it with an approach where politics is driven by policy debates rather than inchoate ideas.

And the thing is, that this way of approaching politics is, of course, intensely progressive. It’s all about openness to new ideas, to new possibilities. It is the almost literal embodiment of “change” insofar as it treats all things as susceptible to improvement. And that’s where the (faint, but perhaps real) kernel of true transformation may lie. Because if it works (and that’s certainly a big if) it has the potential to be a Trojan Horse for a huge progressive change to politics. But it won’t be a change that happens because of an election, or even in a few elections. It will just be a change in how we think and talk about politics. It will take hold not because people consciously decide so, but instead because of a whole series of minute, almost imperceptible little changes in the way people think.

Obviously, the account I’ve just given is idealized. No one (least of all me) thinks that it can survive the rough and tumble of day to day politics completely intact. Of course Obama is going to make decisions out of cold, calculated political ruthlessness. Of course he is not going to really let every perspective be part of the conversation. Of course the Habermasian ideal speech situation that would be necessary to perfectly actualize this account is purely hypothetical. And it’s possible that I’ve just been completely hoodwinked and Obama is simply Clinton mark II with a new catchphrase about hope.

But I think the issues I’ve raised are legitimate, and that they provide a window into the perspective of the campaign right now. And if the folks at Open Left want to freak out about him associating with Clintonites (funny how the left is worried about his corporate buddies in precisely the same way the right was worried about him having brunch with William Ayers), they should consider that there are explanations that do not comport with their intensely ideological account. Similarly, if the mainstream mediates of the world want to constantly talk about how Obama has promised a “new form of politics” and judge every tiny decision through that prism, they would do well to consider what biases they are bringing to the table.

Both sets remain committed to their personal take on politics, where it’s all still about conflict. And I think they would improve their accounts of the situation if they at least tried to imagine that Hope isn’t about gamesmanship (or, that it isn’t only about that), but in fact Obama might genuinely think beyond the immutability of partisan divisions.

65 million people just voted for Obama, many of them because they genuinely supported not just his policies but also his approach to politics. I think we owe it to ourselves and each other to at least stop and consider what it might mean if he actually meant what he was saying. Not if he meant it in the constrained, simple way its usually talked about. But if he meant it in the transformative way it was framed.

Maybe it doesn’t change the underlying grittiness of politics, but perhaps it can offer a different perspective on the few cabinet decisions that are trickling out.

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More on Alaska and chickens

Following up on a few things I’ve written about in the past week.

The perplexing Alaska elections story, the Alaska state elections page has (finally) been updated. As of 5:28 PM pacific time, the count stands at 125,019 votes for Begich and 125,016 votes for Stevens. That is just preposterous. It does demonstrate, at least, that the voters of Alaska may have just been moderately insane, rather than absolutely nuts. We’ll have to see how the final vote actually turns out to be sure.

Dan Savage participates in the animal cruelty trivialization in his podcast, saying: “most insultingly of all” the voters approved Prop 2, while voting to “actual human beings” of rights. I’ll say again that I strongly believe that animals should be treated with less cruelty AND that gay people should be treated with less cruelty. And I understand the attempt to connect these two issues and wonder how people who vote for one wouldn’t vote for the other, given the similarities. Still, there’s a way to say that which doesn’t imply that Prop 2 was some silly little thing to protect mere animals. It didn’t create “new rights” for chickens – it established an (incredibly low) baseline where we would stop torturing them.

I’m not trying to get all preachy vegan here. I’m just trying to point out that the anger over Prop 8 shouldn’t be just another brick in the huge wall that we as a society build to minimize our recognition of responsibility for how animals get treated. That’s all.

Prop 2 was one (very small) victory for the struggle against an amoral individualism that treats everyone who is different as irrelevant. And it will be another when we (in two years or four years) pass a new proposition to legalize gay marriage.

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More thoughts on Alaska

Apparently, it’s going to be another two weeks before they know what happened in the various races there. And that is just for the initial count. It doesn’t factor in a possible recount (surely a possibility given how much “care” they’re putting into the process and how close it still could turn out to be).

Seriously, what is going on up there? We’re talking about like 80,000 votes. Pay me 100 bucks a day and I could hand-count 80,000 votes in week.

What exactly did they do with the ballots, store them in a safety deposit box on the far side of Neptune?

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The end of ideology?

It’s amazing how much can change in just a decade. I’ve been reading Modernization and Postmodernization by Ronald Inglehart. In the book, he proposes that the populations of the First World are undergoing a profound shift in their approach to the issues of statecraft. In his mind, the cleavages of the past (Right and Left approaches to economics) are fading, to be replaced by post-material concerns: the environment, social issues, etc.

His basis for this claim is the assertion that class issues are fading in significance – the rising tide of liberalism has produced relatively secure and equal societies. Further economic gains would produce diminishing marginal returns. The result: voters less concerned with economic issues. One particularly interesting quote:

Political life is also responding to a curve of diminishing marginal returns—in this case, the diminishing marginal utility of the classic program of the Left.
Equality of income distribution shows a curve of diminishing returns similar to those we saw for life expectancies and subjective well-being in chapter 2. Income equality increases sharply with economic development, up to a level of about $3,500 per capita in 1978 dollars (see Inglehart, 1990: 251); above that threshold, the curve levels off. In the overwhelming majority of countries with a GNP per capita below $3,500 (as of 1978), the top tenth of the population got more than one-third of total income (in some cases as much as 57 percent). In none of the nations with a GNP per capita above $3,500 did the top tenth of the population get more than one-third of the total income; their share ranged from as low as 17 percent, in communist countries, to a high of 33 percent, in Finland.

That was 1997, at the high water mark for the new liberal consensus and post-economic hype. Just a short decade later, the tide has receded, and this particular myth has been shattered – revealed to be the product of a unique historical moment rather than the inevitable trend of history. Less than 10 years later: “Income inequality grew significantly in 2005, with the top 1 percent of Americans — those with incomes that year of more than $348,000 — receiving their largest share of national income since 1928.”

That statistic about the top 10% never taking more than 33% of the income…well, in 2005 the number was 48.5% – just a shade lower than the 49.3% immediately prior to the Great Depression.

Inglehart also assures his readers that the economic programs of the Old Left have served their purpose but the new waves of financial security have obviated the need for the Welfare State – something that will surely surprise the 66 million people who just voted for the candidate promising massive new state investment in health care, energy development, and social welfare

The point here is not to pick on Inglehart, whose underlying premise is actually quite intriguing, but rather to emphasize just how contingent history really is. We love to look at trends and project them into the future, but rarely account for all of the factors that may intervene and complicate the stories we tell. This is especially common whenever we minimize the significance of economic factors.

For a nice demonstration of that point, check out Ezra Klein’s recent post about What’s the Matter With Kansas and the larger debate about economics, culture, and security.

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And she’d never have to know what it’s like when your heart breaks

“The Quiz” was one of the best songs of 2006. It hit you the first time with its quirky style. After that, you really started to appreciate how perfectly she sets up the moment when you reach “and if I fall…would you pick me up?” It’s the sort of song that you could never imagine in a million years, and yet once you heard it, you knew that the world was absolutely incomplete until it existed.

I bring this up for two reasons. First, because it gives me an excuse to link to a ‘blessay’ from Stephen Fry, who is an absolutely wonderful writer BTW, on the subject of language. It references this same phenomenon, where we fill our world with things that are singular and would be impossible to imagine if they didn’t already exist. It includes the line “Cheese is real, and so it seems, is the pleasure of the text.” And in context that not only makes sense, but is a really beautiful sentiment.

Second, because Hello Saferide has a new album, suitably titled More Modern Stories from Hello Saferide (eMusic). It doesn’t quite touch the heights of that short EP of 2006 (which not only had “The Quiz” but also featured the absolutely stunning “2006”), but it does provide another strong batch of songs to make you reconsider things you had always taken for granted. It’s quirky, it’s clever, and (in a bit of a change) it has a bit bigger sound. Which is not to say that this has a stadium rock closer or anything, but it definitely expands upon the girl-and-her-guitar attitude. But really, the production is clearly secondary. The real star here is simply Norlin’s storytelling ability.

“Lund” is a classic example. It’s a whole short story wrapped up into a three minute pop song. It’s touching, it’s complete, it feels genuine in a way that you can hardly believe. And that is the magic of this record: to listen is to peek inside the heads of all the people you normally just walk past. It is a recognition that we’re all a bit peculiar and awkward when we reveal our true selves.

And while you could never call this is happy record, there’s a small sense of optimism that shines through in a way we haven’t quite seen before. It’s most noticeable on “2008” which presumably references the the sentiment of “2006.” While the older track listed resolutions including “I will learn a new word each day, Today’s word is dejected” this one features a chorus declaring “all I know is: there’s something new this year.”

Still, that’s not to say it’s all sunshine and bubblegum here. As usual, the cheery tunes are often hiding something more sinister. “Overall,” for example, sounds like a nice story of parenthood until you realize exactly what they’re talking about.

On a record with plenty of great songs, the clear standout is “Anna.” An ode to her theoretical daughter, it hearkens back to that same feeling that made me fall in love with “The Quiz” – the attention to the tiniest, seemingly irrelevant details. And the pitch-perfect way that this reveals more than 1000 pages of description ever could. Plus, one of the musical highlights of the whole year is the moment at 1:25 when she says “and she’d never have to know what it’s like when your heart breaks” and the story starts to unravel.

To be sure, there are also some weak moments. Sometimes the kitsch factor is a touch too strong, as on the enjoyable but just a little too goofy “25 Days.” “Sancho Panza” falls a bit flat, and “Traveling with HS” is pleasant enough but almost entirely lacking in the charm that characterizes the rest of the record. And the sound effects on the otherwise gorgeous “Arjeplog” get in the way of what would have been a perfect closer.

Still, these are minor bumps. On the whole, this is a beautiful, engaging album. Often corny, occasionally hilarious, and never failing to demonstrate a keen awareness of how preposterous human beings truly are…it’s the sort of record that you wish would fall in love with you, but you can tell deep down inside that you’re both just a little too awkward for it to work out.

MP3s:
Anna – Hello Saferide
Lund – Hello Saferide

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Forgetting Sarah

There’s a trend in post-election discussions to minimize the significance of Sarah Palin. Jonathan Martin even goes so far as to say “nobody I know is trying to ‘pin the loss’ on Palin. After all, it was McCain and his top aides who choose her. The post-mortem spin is more geared around the unpopularity of President Bush and economic crisis.”

Really? Clearly, she wasn’t the only reason for McCain’s resounding defeat, but I think her Epic Fail of a candidacy certainly played a significant role. And clearly a decent amount of the blame has to fall back on the McCain folks for actually picking her. It destroyed their strongest message (experience and steadiness), she wasn’t vetted, it was an impulse decision that not surprisingly didn’t turn out well.

All that said, I don’t think it was unreasonable for them to expect that she could hold her own for two short months. And there is simply no way to overstate how much of a disaster those Gibson and Couric interviews were. I don’t think it’s even a slight exaggeration to say that I personally know hundreds of people who could have skated through questions that left her perplexed, fumbling around, and looking like an utter buffoon.

If she had turned out to be moderately competent, it would have been all to easy for them to dispel most of people’s doubts about her. That she looked like a gimmick, and then confirmed it in dramatic fashion essentially eliminated any chance for McCain.

It would have been a tough road regardless, but it became impossible with Sarah the Anchor.

Now, there are two ways of telling this story. One where she was simply unprepared and cracked under the pressure of the high stress campaign. Or another where she really is as terrible of a national candidate as she appeared. If it’s the first, she might very well be able to recuperate her image and make another run at it (though if she tries in 2012 I can only imagine it being a disaster). If it’s the latter, though, for her own sake she should probably just stick to Alaskan politics where apparently the Republicans can get re-elected no matter what they do.

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